In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 7th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 2-8 this season after they lost game one in this series by a score of 8-6 on Monday. Boston led 3-0 in the third inning, but they fell apart in the fourth and could never recover for the loss. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Story and Contreras, who both had two RBIs. Bello allowed five hits and three earned runs over 3.1 innings in the no decision, while Whitlock was charged with the loss. Prior to this series, Boston lost two out of three against the Padres and all three against the Astros.
This season, Boston has a 4.84 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 36 runs with a .231 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Wilyer Abreu has led the Red Sox with three home runs and eight RBIs, while Marcelo Mayer has added one home run and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 8-2 this year after they won game one by a score of 8-6 on Monday night. Milwaukee scored four runs in the fourth inning, but they trailed 5-4 in the fifth, before scoring the next four runs to pull away with the win. The Brewers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mitchell, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Woodruff allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the no decision, while Ashby got the win and Zerpa picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Rays.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.44 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 68 runs with a .271 batting average and a .376 on base percentage. Garrett Mitchell has led the Brewers with one home run and 13 RBIs, while Christian Yelich has added one home run and nine RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The home team has won four of the last five games between the Brewers and Red Sox.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games following a road win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The favorites have covered the run line in 10 of the Brewers’ last 13 games.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games at Fenway Park against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games as favorites.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Wilyer Abreu ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.857) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Red Sox.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks T2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (18) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank T27th in the league for runs scored this season (30).
- The Red Sox rank T5th in the league for triples this season (2).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (20).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (60).
Red Sox vs Brewers Prediction
Boston comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they only have two wins on the season. The Red Sox are 1-3 at home this year, while the Brewers are 3-1 on the road. Milwaukee has won four of their last five games and their offense is rolling right now, as they have scored 5+ in all four of those wins. This is a fantastic pitching matchup, but I think Crochet has the edge, especially at home. Take Boston to win here.