The Milwaukee Brewers and Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs. Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs. Brewers Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 8-3 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Nationals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 263 on the season, have a .367 OBP, and have a .415 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Christian Yelich leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 15 hits and 10 RBI, while Brice Turang and William Contreras have combined for 20 hits and 15 RBI.
Shane Drohan will make his major league debut tonight. Drohan was 31-21 with a 4.29 ERA and 478 strikeouts in his minor league career. Drohan spent three seasons at Florida State, where he was 3-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 99 strikeouts.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 3-8 on the year and play the Cardinals and Twins next. The Boston Red Sox are batting. 223 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and have a .364 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 16 hits and 8 RBI, while Roman Anthony and Willson Contreras have combined for 19 hits and 6 RBI.
Sonny Gray gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Gray is 5-6 with a 3.52 ERA and 139 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The home team has won five of the last six games between the Brewers and Red Sox.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five day games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
- The Brewers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine Wednesday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight day games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has hit at least one home run in four of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Wilyer Abreu ranks T4th in the league in Hits (16) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- David Hamilton ranks T5th in the league in Steals (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank T28th in the league for steals this season (3).
- The Red Sox rank T5th in the league for doubles this season (20).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (22).
- The Brewers rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (22).
Red Sox vs Brewers Prediction
Those who followed me over the years know how I feel about pitchers making their big league debut. I usually avoid them because of a lack of sample size. It doesn’t matter the prospect; you have no idea what to expect. Drohan has had issues with his control and many believe his ceiling is a back end of the rotation guy. Drohan is a top-30 prospect for the Brewers, but there are better pitching prospects on this team. Gray is more trustworthy and the Red Sox need wins to dig out of this hole. I’m going to fade the young pitcher. Give me the Sox.