The Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs. Guardians Pick.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 82-76 on the year and play the Royals next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .238 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and a .376 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 149 hits and 31 RBI, while Chase DeLauter and Brayan Rocchio have combined for 271 hits and 135 RBI.
Daniel Espino gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 0-0 with a 4.73 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Espino’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 85-73 on the year and play the Cubs next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .247 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and have a .401 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 152 hits and 70 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Caleb Durbin have combined for 272 hits and 138 RBI.
Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 8-4 with a 3.27 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have lost eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Thursday road games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Thursday night games as favorites against AL opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Guardians and Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home night games.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against the Red Sox.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Guardians’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Guardians’ last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine home games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Mickey Gasper has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against the Guardians.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
- Willson Contreras ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Austin Hedges has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T6th in the league in Steals (36) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (150).
- The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (281).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.376).
- The Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1498).
Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction
Big game for the Guardians, who are chasing a division title, but I’m not a fan of openers, and Espino has been hit hard, especially this month, where he has allowed 7 hits and 4 runs in 7.1 innings. The Red Sox don’t give away wins, and Suarez has been ridiculous lately, allowing 13 hits and 2 runs in his last 19.2 innings. The Red Sox are 10-2 in Suarez’s last 12 games. The price is reasonable. Give me the Red Sox with the far more trustworthy arm on the mound.