The Boston Red Sox are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday, June 17th at the T-Mobile Park in the second game of this series, with the Red Sox having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox’s recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners game
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 36-35 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 19-18 home record and 37-30 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-2 home defeat by the Red Sox, which snapped their previous three-game winning streak. Over is 5-4-1 in their last 10 games, and they are playing the Twins and the Cubs next.
The Mariners have a .242 batting average this season, a .322 OBP, and a .395 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 74, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 54 and in home runs with 26. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average.
Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 5-4 record, 3.39 ERA, and 0.98 WHIP. He has been better at home with a 2.53 ERA across five home starts, but he has been struggling lately, having given up 12 runs in 18.2 innings pitched across his last three starts. In his previous start against the Red Sox this season, he gave up two runs in 6 innings of work.
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 38-36 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the AL East. The Red Sox have a 16-19 road record and are 33-40 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-0 road victory over the Mariners and are 8-1 in their last 9 games, and 6-0 to the under in their last 6. They are playing the Giants and the Angels next.
The Red Sox have a .252 batting average this season, a .326 OBP, and a .421 slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 82 hits, while Rafael Devers leads the team in RBI, with 58, in home runs, with 15, while being the team’s best hitter, with a .272 batting average.
Walker Buehler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 5-4 record, 5.01 ERA, and 1.39 WHIP. He has been terrible on the road, with a 7.43 ERA across five road starts, and he has been struggling lately, having given up 13 runs in 14.2 innings pitched across his last three starts. Walker Buehler has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 4.24 and 17 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won each of their last nine night games against the Red Sox following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five night games against the Mariners at T-Mobile Park following a road win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a road win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Red Sox following a loss.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last six games.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Red Sox have won the first inning in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six road games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last four night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Red Sox and Mariners.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (93).
- The Mariners rank 4th in the league for steals this season (72).
- The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (141).
- The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (646).
Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction
Both teams are tied 2-2 wins this season, and the Red Sox are 6-5 in their last 11 meetings against the Mariners. Their last four meetings in Seattle have gone under the total.
In this Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -180 home favorites. The Mariners are being overvalued in this sport, as the Red Sox have a better overall record and have been one of the hottest teams in the majors lately. The price is a reaction to Bryan Woo being on the mound for the Mariners, but he has been terrible as of late, as well as Buehler for the Red Sox. I see no value on either side, but with both pitchers struggling and both teams averaging 9 runs per game combined against right-handed pitching, I will gladly go over the 7.5 total today.