In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 5th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 2-6 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 2-3. In their game two loss, Boston tied the game at one in the second inning and at two in the eighth inning, but they allowed a run in the ninth for the loss. The Red Sox recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mayer and Monasterio, who both had one RBI. Early allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings for the no decision, while Chapman picked up the loss in the ninth.
This season, Boston has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 24 runs with a .223 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Wilyer Abreu has led the Red Sox with three home runs and six RBIs, while Roman Anthony has added one home run and two RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Ranger Suarez, who is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 3-5 this year after they won game two by a score of 3-2 on Saturday afternoon. San Diego led for the majority of the game, but they blew the lead in the eighth inning, before stringing some hits together in the ninth for the win. The Padres recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Johnson, Fermin, and Laureano, who all had one RBI. Vasquez allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings in the no decision, while Morejon got the win and Miller picked up the save.
This season, San Diego has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 24 runs with a .190 batting average and a .267 on base percentage. Ramon Laureano has led the Padres with two home runs and five RBIs, while Jackson Merrill has added one home run and four RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Walker Buehler, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs following a win.
- The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games following a win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Sunday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won five of the Red Sox’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Fenway Park.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL West opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
Red Sox vs Padres Prediction
San Diego was able to get the low scoring win in game two of this series on Saturday and they have won two of their last three games. The Padres are starting Buehler, who did not look very good in his first outing. Boston continued their struggles on Saturday and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Red Sox are going with Suarez, who also struggled in his first outing. I don’t like either starter in this game, so I think San Diego has some value at this price. Take the Padres here.