The Pittsburgh Pirates and Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs Pirates Pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 60-76 on the year and play the Dodgers, Brewers, and Orioles next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .234 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .352 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 123 hits and 66 RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 204 hits and 85 RBI.
Johan Oviedo gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Oviedo’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 75-61 on the year and play the Guardians, Diamondbacks, and Athletics next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .252 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 135 hits and 73 RBI while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 245 hits and 139 RBI.
Dustin May gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 7-10 with a 4.79 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. This will be May’s first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last five home games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last eight games between the Pirates and Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Pirates and Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL Central opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Dustin May has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Johan Oviedo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in four of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs against the Red Sox.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in five of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Johan Oviedo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction
The Pirates are having a great couple of weeks, but the larger sample size suggests this won’t last long. I also have a hard time getting behind Oviedo, who has just 10 innings under his belt. May was just tagged by the Yankees, but he was sharp in his previous three starts since coming over from the Dodgers. When he’s right, May is a solid pitcher. The Red Sox simply can’t afford to blow games like this at home if they’re going to make the playoffs. I’m siding with the Red Sox and will lay the RL to shave down the price.