In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, September 17th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Preview
The Texas Rangers have a 76-76 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL West. They have a 42-32 home record and are coming off a 7-3 home win against the Red Sox. They will face the Blue Jays and the Mets next.
The Texas Rangers have a .244 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Texas’s pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ezequiel Duran is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Jake Burger leads the team in RBI with 84, while Joc Pederson adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Tyler Alexander (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 5-2 record, 3.38 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 82-70 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 44-33 away record and are coming off a 3-7 road loss against the Rangers. They will face the Guardians and the Cubs next.
The Boston Red Sox have a .247 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Willson Contreras leads the team in RBI with 81, adding a team-high 27 home runs.
Sonny Gray (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 17-5 record, 2.76 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.
Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 17, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Alexander Record this season: 5-2 ERA: 3.38
- Home Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 1-0
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won each of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against AL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sonny Gray Record this season: 17-5 ERA: 2.76
- Road Record: 10-3
- Last 5 against Rangers: 3-2
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last six Thursday games.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Rangers following a road loss.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rangers’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites against the Rangers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Red Sox’s last six games against AL West opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last five Thursday games.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as home underdogs.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Rangers as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Tyler Alexander has recorded two or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites against the Rangers.
- Sonny Gray has recorded a win in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites.
- Sonny Gray ranks T1st in the league for Wins (17) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rangers rank 27th in the league for steals this season (73).
- The Rangers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (635).
- The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (271).
- The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction
The Rangers have won their last three meetings against the Red Sox and they have also won their last four meetings in Texas.
In this Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -135 road favorites. I like the Red Sox in a bounce-back spot on the road with Sonny Gray on the mound, who has been elite this season with a 2.76 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. He has been better on the road with a 10-3 record and 2.62 ERA and the Red Sox have been better against lefties and have the second-best bullpen ERA this season, while the Rangers are going for a bullpen game today. Take the Red Sox to win this one.