In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 12th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 80-68 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 last night. Boston cut the deficit to 3-2 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Red Sox recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Abreu, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Gray allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Moran threw 1.1 innings in relief. Prior to this series, Boston lost two out of three against the Angels, but did win all four against the Orioles before that.
This season, Boston has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 654 runs with a .248 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 20 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Ranger Suarez, who is 6-4 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 130.2 innings pitched this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 66-82 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Friday. Kansas City scored all three of their runs in the first three innings, which was enough to get the low scoring win. The Royals recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Jensen, who went 2-5 with one RBI. Lugo allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Cruz picked up the save. Prior to this series, Kansas City lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Blue Jays.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.63 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while they have scored 632 runs with a .247 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Jac Caglianone has led the Royals with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 18 home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Randy Dobnak, who is 3-3 with a 2.54 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 63.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 11 home games against the Royals following a loss.
- The Royals have lost eight of their last nine games against the Red Sox following a road win.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games against the Royals.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Royals’ last five games.
- The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last seven games.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of Randy Dobnak’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Red Sox’s last seven home games against AL Central opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three games against the Royals.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as favorites against the Royals.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last five games against AL East opponents.
- Randy Dobnak has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games.
Red Sox vs Royals Prediction
Boston comes into this matchup after losing game one on Friday night and they have lost three games in a row. The Red Sox are 36-37 at home this year, while the Royals are 27-46 on the road. Kansas City has won three of their last five games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in all three of those wins. The Royals are starting Dobnak, who has allowed 1, 6, 4, 0, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts, while Suarez has allowed 4+ earned runs in two of his last four. Take the Royals with Dobnak on the mound here.