In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 19th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 8-12 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 1-4. In game two, Boston cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Red Sox recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Anthony, who went 1-3 with a walk. Bello allowed five hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Moran struck out three across three scoreless innings. Prior to this series, Boston lost two out of three against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that.
This season, Boston has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 79 runs with a .230 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Wilson Contreras has led the Red Sox with three home runs and 11 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added two home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 2-2 with a 7.58 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 11-10 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-1 on Saturday afternoon. Detroit scored once in the first inning and three times in the fourth, which was enough to get the low scoring win. The Tigers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Carpenter, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Skubal allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Jansen picked up the save. Prior to this series, Detroit swept the Royals in three games and swept the Marlins in three games.
This season, Detroit has a 3.34 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 88 runs with a .239 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with four home runs and 14 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added one home run and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Framber Valdez, who is 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 24.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last nine road games against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games against the Tigers following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Tigers following a home loss.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 15 day games at Fenway Park against AL Central opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Tigers at Fenway Park.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday day games against AL East opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Roman Anthony has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three day games.
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction
Boston had their small winning streak snapped on Saturday in game two and they have scored one run or fewer in three of their last four games. The Red Sox are 4-4 at home this year, while the Tigers are 3-9 on the road. Detroit has won seven of their last eight games and they have allowed one run or fewer in four of their last five. The Tigers are starting Valdez, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his four starts, while Crochet has allowed 10, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. We have seen Crochet struggle this year, so I think Detroit has some value with Valdez on the mound. Take the Tigers here.