In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 24th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 22-29 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 6-8 and 2-4. In game two, Boston cut the deficit to 2-1 in the fourth inning, but didn’t score again until the ninth in the loss. The Red Sox recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rafaela, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Moran allowed three hits and two earned runs over 1.0 inning for the loss, while Bello allowed eight hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings in bulk relief. Prior to this series, Boston won all three against the Royals, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that.
This season, Boston has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 189 runs with a .239 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 10 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added six home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Sonny Gray, who is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 40.0 innings pitched this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 25-27 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-2 on Saturday. Minnesota led 2-0 after the first inning and they extended their lead in the fifth in the win. The Twins recorded 12 hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Martin, who went 2-5 with one RBI in the game. Bradley allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Rogers picked up the save. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Astros, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 242 runs with a .238 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 16 home runs and 26 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added five home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 5-2 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 57.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 12 home games against the Twins following a home loss.
- The Twins have lost 15 of their last 20 road games following a road win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Twins.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Twins’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
- Sonny Gray has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against the Twins.
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in eight of the Twins’ last 12 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six Sunday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against the Red Sox.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
Red Sox vs Twins Prediction
Minnesota comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 16 runs during that span. The Twins are 10-13 on the road this year, while the Red Sox are 8-16 at home. Boston continues to struggle this season, as they couldn’t keep their momentum from the KC sweep. The Red Sox are starting Gray, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts, while Ober has allowed 3, 0, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. I really like how Gray has looked, so take the Red Sox -1.5 here.