In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, July 9th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago White Sox Preview
The Chicago White Sox have a 47‑44 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL Central. They have a 28‑16 home record and are coming off a 0‑5 home loss against the Red Sox. They will face the Athletics and the Blue Jays next.
The Chicago White Sox have a .241 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .414 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Sam Antonacci is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average. Miguel Vargas leads the team in RBI with 56, while Colson Montgomery adds a team‑high 23 home runs.
Anthony Kay (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Chicago White Sox, and he has a 6‑3 record, 4.39 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 42‑48 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 25‑21 away record and are coming off a 5‑0 road win against the White Sox. They will face the Mets and the Rays next.
The Boston Red Sox have a .245 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Willson Contreras leads the team in RBI with 61, adding a team‑high 20 home runs.
Patrick Sandoval (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Boston Red Sox and he will make his season debut today.
Boston Red Sox @ the Chicago White Sox Betting Trends: July 9, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Anthony Kay Record this season: 6-3 ERA: 4.29
- Home Record: 5-1
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 1-0
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The White Sox have won eight of their last nine home games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight day games against the White Sox following a win.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the White Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents.
- The White Sox have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games at Rate Field against AL East opponents.
- The White Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Sandoval Record this season: – ERA: –
- Road Record: –
- Last 5 against White Sox: 0-3
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last nine games against American League opponents.
- The White Sox have lost each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Fourteen of the White Sox’s last 17 day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last eight day games at Rate Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last seven games between the Red Sox and White Sox at Rate Field.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Sam Antonacci has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents.
- Andrew Benintendi has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
- Anthony Kay has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Colson Montgomery ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (23) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Patrick Sandoval has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
- Romy Gonzalez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Willson Contreras ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.542) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The White Sox rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (125).
- The White Sox rank T25th in the league for triples this season (7).
- The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (80).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (353).
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the White Sox and have won their last three visits in Chicago.
In this Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, the White Sox are coming as -115 home favorites. I like the White Sox in a bounce-back spot on the road with Anthony Kay on the mound, who has been in good form lately and has been excellent at home, with a 5-1 record and a 3.21 ERA. Patrick Sandoval has not played since the 2024 season, where he had a 5.08 ERA and 1.51 WHIP across 16 starts. On top of that, the White Sox have a better offense, so I expect them to get the job done at home and get away with the win.