In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 30th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 29-27 this year after they lost game one by a score of 8-3 on Friday night. Cincinnati cut the deficit to 4-3 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t score anymore runs in the loss. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Bleday, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI. Paddack allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Marte allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Mets and split two games with the Cardinals.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.71 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 248 runs with a .231 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 2-4 with a 6.26 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 39-19 this season after they won game one by a score of 8-3 last night. Atlanta scored in the first inning and never looked back in the lopsided win. The Braves recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Harris II, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. Holmes allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Fuentes picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Red Sox, but lost two out of three against the Nationals before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.14 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .213 opponent batting average, while they have scored 307 runs with a .261 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 15 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 2-3 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 46.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight night games at Great American Ball Park following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 16 Saturday games as home underdogs.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Saturday games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in nine of their last 12 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Reds have lost 11 of their last 14 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road favorites.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last nine games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last eight games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of Brady Singer’s last six appearances as a starter.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last two home games against NL East opponents.
- Brady Singer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 17 games as underdogs.
- Brady Singer has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
Reds vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta was able to get the win to start this series on Friday and they have won three of their last four games. The Braves are 22-9 on the road this year, while the Reds are 14-13 at home. Cincinnati has won three of their last five games and they have scored seven runs in all three of those wins. The Reds are starting Singer, who has allowed 5, 3, 4, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts, while Perez has allowed seven earned runs in his last 16.1 innings. I think Perez is due for some regression, but Singer has been bad. Take the Braves to win here.