In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 2nd at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup in the MLB Speedway Classic.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 58-53 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 11-12 and 3-2. In their game two win, Cincinnati led 3-0 in the seventh inning, but they barely were able to hang on for the victory. The Reds recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Benson, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Singer, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Pagan allowed two earned runs, but still got the save.
Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did sweep the Rays in three games before that. Cincinnati has lost three of its last five games, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 510 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 12 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 0-3 with a 6.26 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 46-63 this season after they lost game two in this series on Friday afternoon. Atlanta failed to score in the first eight innings, but they did score twice in the ninth inning in the loss. The Braves recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Albies and Williams, who both had one RBI in the defeat. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings for the loss, while Dodd allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Royals and all three against the Rangers. Atlanta has lost eight of their last ten games, and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 457 runs with a .242 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 16 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 5-8 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 77.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Braves will beat the Reds
- The Braves have won each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have lost five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last seven Saturday games as favorites.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Reds’ last 16 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL East opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 Saturday night games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Spencer Strider has recorded eight or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 17 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games against the Reds.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Reds vs Braves Prediction
These two teams have split the first two games in this series, and now they will get a chance at picking up a big series win at Bristol Motor Speedway. The Reds are fighting in the NL Wild Card race, so every game is important for them. Atlanta is pretty much out of it, but they are still a very talented team. The Braves are going with Strider, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight games. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed 3, 5, 2, 1, and 5 earned runs in his last five outings. Cincinnati has been the better team this season, but Strider is the better pitcher, and I like the Braves here.