In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 23rd at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 37-40 this season after they lost game one in extra innings by a score of 1-2. Cincinnati had a great pitching performance in this game, but they were outscored 2-1 in the 10th for the loss. The Reds recorded two hits in the game and they were led by Stewart, who went 0-4 with one RBI. Singer allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Santillan picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Yankees and two out of three against the Mets.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.53 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 326 runs with a .227 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 14 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 2-2 with a 6.12 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-29 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Milwaukee didn’t score in the first nine innings, but they scored twice in the 10th for the win. The Brewers recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Ortiz, who went 0-3 with one RBI. Woodruff allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Megill got the win and Kuhnel picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee lost two out of three against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Guardians before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.40 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they have scored 399 runs with a .254 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 11 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Sproat, who is 1-4 with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 63.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Reds have won three of their last four games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home night games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost 14 of their last 15 games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games at Great American Ball Park after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 road games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last 11 Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last six games between the Brewers and Reds.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Brewers’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded two hits in each of the Brewers’ last four games as road favorites against the Reds.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (586).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (750).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee was able to get the win in extra innings on Monday to start this series and they have won two in a row. The Brewers are 22-14 on the road this year, while the Reds are 19-20 at home. Cincinnati has won two of their last three games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in three straight. The Reds are starting Lodolo, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Sproat has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the over here.