In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 64-58 this season after they won two out of three against Philadelphia by scores of 1-4, 6-1, and 8-0. In their game three win, Cincinnati led 1-0 early in the game and added three insurance runs in the middle innings to secure the victory. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Andujar, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Greene, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while four other pitchers combined to save the shutout.
Prior to that series, the Reds split four games with the Pirates and won two out of three against the Cubs. Cincinnati has won four of their last five games and they are third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 554 runs with a .247 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 14 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 10-9 with a 4.49 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 136.1 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 76-44 this year after they swept the Pirates by scores of 7-1, 14-0, and 12-5. In their game three win, Milwaukee led 6-0 in the fourth inning, but needed a few runs in the sixth to extend their lead for the victory. The Brewers recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Contreras, who went 2-3 with four RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Woodruff, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Koenig picked up the win in relief.
Prior to that series, the Brewers won all three against the Mets and all three against the Braves. Milwaukee has won 12 games in a row and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 620 runs with a .259 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 23 home runs and 81 RBIs, while William Contreras has added 12 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD, but it could be Jacob Misiorowski.
Why the Reds will beat the Brewers
- The home team has won each of the Brewers’ last six games.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home night games.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at Great American Ball Park against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Brewers’ last six road games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Miguel Andujar has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four games against NL opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- Brice Turang has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last four night games.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 12 road games against NL Central opponents.
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Reds vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee heads into this game looking to grab their 13th win in a row, as they have scored at least seven runs in five straight games. The Brewers are 34-24 on the road this year, while the Reds are 35-27 at home. Cincinnati is also playing very well right now and they are starting Martinez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The Brewers have not announced their starting pitcher, but they are definitely overdue for a loss. I like how Martinez is pitching right now and I will take the Reds to win at home.