In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 64-60 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 8-10 and 5-6. In their game two loss, Cincinnati led 2-1 in the ninth, but they couldn’t hold the lead and lost in extras. The Reds recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Hayes, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Littell, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Pagan blew the save and La Sorsa got the loss.
Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Phillies and split four games with the Pirates. Cincinnati has lost three of their last five games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 567 runs with a .247 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 15 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 8-3 with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 123.0 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 78-44 this year after they won game two by a score of 6-5 on Saturday night. Milwaukee couldn’t hold a 3-2 lead in the 10th, but they scored three runs in the 11th to escape with the victory. The Brewers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Monasterio, who went 1-1 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Priester, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Megill picked up the win and Mears got the save.
Prior to this series, the Brewers swept the Pirates in three games and also swept the Mets in three games. Milwaukee has won 14 games in a row and they are still first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 636 runs with a .260 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 25 home runs and 86 RBIs, while William Contreras has added 12 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jose Quintana, who is 10-4 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 99.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Reds will beat the Brewers
- The Reds have won each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against the Reds following a win.
- The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Why the Brewers will beat the Reds
- The Brewers have won each of their last 14 games.
- The Reds have lost five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 road games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games at Great American Ball Park following an extra innings loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eleven of the Reds’ last 12 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Brewers’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Brewers’ last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Miguel Andujar has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs.
- Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jose Quintana has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
- Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- William Contreras has hit two home runs in each of the Brewers’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Brice Turang has recorded a Double in each of the Brewers’ last four games at Great American Ball Park.
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Reds vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee was able to erase a ninth inning deficit on Saturday night to get another win, as they are going for their 15th straight win here. The Brewers are 36-24 on the road this season, while the Reds are 35-29 at home. Cincinnati has allowed 16 runs in the first two games of this series and they are starting Abbott, who has allowed seven earned runs and 13 hits in his last 14.1 innings. Milwaukee is going with Quintana, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four. I like both of these starting pitchers and I think we will see a low scoring game, so take the under here.