In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 26th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 53-51 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 27-28 home record and are coming off a 7-0 home win against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Blue Jays next.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a .240 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Jordan Walker is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 77, and adds a team-high 22 home runs.
Kyle Leahy (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he has a 7-4 record, 3.59 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 48-55 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 26-27 away record and are coming off a 0-7 road loss against the Cardinals. They will face the Guardians and the Pirates next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .229 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 75, adding a team-high 21 home runs.
Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds, and he has a 5-6 record, 3.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Leahy Record this season: 7-4 ERA: 3.59
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Reds: 0-0
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Reds have lost eight of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The home team has won five of the last six games between the Reds and Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cardinals have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 3.89
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Cardinals: 2-2
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Cardinals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Reds’ last nine road games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- JJ Wetherholt has hit at least one home run in each of the Cardinals’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Leahy has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Pedro Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Jordan Walker ranks T8th in the league in Hits (114) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against the Cardinals.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 13 games against NL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz is one of only seven players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
- The Cardinals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (791).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (791).
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Reds and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Saint Louis.
In this Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, the Cardinals are coming as -135 home favorites. I like the Cardinals at home in this one with the red-hot Kyle Leahy on the mound, who has given up just two runs across his last five starts. On the flip side, Andrew Abbott has given up 3+ runs in three of his last five starts and the Reds have both a weaker offense and bullpen than the Cardinals. Take Saint Louis to win this one at home.