In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 30th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 68-67 this year after they lost game one by a score of 7-5 on Friday night. Cincinnati led 2-1 in the first inning and they tied the game in the eighth, but failed to score in the 10th for the loss. The Reds recorded 12 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Marte, Andujar, Hays, Steer, and Hayes, who all had one RBI in the loss. Cincinnati started Littell, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Martinez allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Reds lost all three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Cincinnati has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 602 runs with a .246 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 17 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 8-4 with a 2.62 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 134.0 innings pitched this year.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 67-69 this season after they won game one in this series on Friday night. St. Louis blew a 5-4 lead in the eighth, but they scored two runs in the 10th after a crucial Cincinnati error for the win. The Cardinals recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Winn, who went 3-5 with three RBIs in the win. St. Louis started Liberatore, who allowed eight hits and three earned runs, while Svanson got the win and Fernandez picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Cardinals split four games with the Pirates and lost two out of three against the Rays. St. Louis has won three of their last five games and they are fourth in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 595 runs with a .247 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Wilson Contreras has led St. Louis with 19 home runs, 73 RBIs, and four stolen bases, while Alec Burleson has added 16 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Michael McGreevy, who is 5-2 with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 63.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have won each of the Cardinals’ last four games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the Reds’ last 11 games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last four road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Reds’ last seven games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games as favorites.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two home games against the Cardinals.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last six home games.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Nolan Gorman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Willson Contreras has hit a home run in four of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
Cincinnati has completely fallen apart over the last week and their playoff chances have really taken a hit, so they need to get a win here. The Reds are 36-30 at home this season, while the Cardinals are 30-37 on the road. St. Louis is looking for their third straight win and they are starting McGreevy, who has allowed 4, 2, 3, 0, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts. The Reds are going with Abbott, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four outings. This Cincinnati team is really having issues, so I think we have some value with the Cardinals here.