In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 29th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 76-59 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 38-28 home record and are coming off a 8-10 home loss against the Reds. They will face the Brewers and the Marlins next.
The Chicago Cubs have a .249 batting average this season, .338 OBP, and .423 slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the Cubs’ best hitter with a .277 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 83, adding a team-high 33 home runs.
Kevin Gausman (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, has a 7-11 record, 4.37 ERA, and 1.26 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 64-71 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 32-35 road record and are coming off a 10-8 road win against the Cubs. They will face the Padres and the Brewers next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .228 batting average this season, .307 OBP, and .394 slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the Reds’ best hitter with a .268 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 102, adding a team-high 29 home runs.
Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, has a 6-9 record, 4.15 ERA, and 1.40 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: August 29, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman Record this season: 7-11 ERA: 4.37
- Home Record: 3-5
- Last 5 against Reds: 1-3
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last 10 Saturday day games at Wrigley Field.
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Cubs following a win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games following a home loss.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 6-9 ERA: 4.15
- Road Record: 3-4
- Last 5 against Cubs: 1-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Cubs’ last five games as favorites against the Reds have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Reds’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last seven Saturday day games at Wrigley Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Cubs’ last seven games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Michael Busch has hit at least one home run in three of the Cubs’ last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.548) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two road games against the Cubs.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 19 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (570).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (703).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1282).
Reds vs Cubs Prediction
The Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Reds and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Chicago.
In this Reds vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -190 home favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have a 4+ ERA and both have been in bad shape lately. Gausman had given up 9 runs in his last two starts before his last one and has a 4.30 ERA as a Cub, while Abbott has given up 3+ runs in four of his last five starts. In their last five games, both teams have a combined 12.08 bullpen ERA while scoring 12.4 runs per game combined. Take the over 8.5 in this one.