In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 12th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 32-35 this year after they lost two out of three against the Padres by scores of 2-6, 5-3, and 4-5. In game three, Cincinnati led 4-2 in the eighth inning, but they allowed two in the bottom of the eighth and one in the ninth for the loss. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Steer, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Singer allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Petty picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Cincinnati lost all three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Royals.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.79 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 286 runs with a .231 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 13 home runs and 42 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 2-1 with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this year.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 34-34 this season after they lost all three against the Marlins by scores of 6-10, 0-8, and 0-2. In game three, Arizona fell behind in the first inning and they couldn’t do anything at the plate in the shutout loss. The Diamondbacks recorded three hits and they were led by Barrosa, who went 1-3 in the game. Kelly allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Garcia and Sewald finished the game. Prior to that series, Arizona lost two out of three against the Nationals and split four games with the Dodgers.
This season, Arizona has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 289 runs with a .239 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ketel Marte has led the Diamondbacks with 11 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 5-2 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 78.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last 11 games between the Diamondbacks and Reds.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine night games.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 home games following a road loss.
- The favorites have won each of the Reds’ last six games.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Reds.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Reds.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Eduardo Rodriguez’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games as home underdogs.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances with the Reds as home underdogs.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last seven home games.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of his five previous appearances with the Diamondbacks as road favorites against the Reds.
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in 12 of his last 15 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Diamondbacks as road favorites.
- Corbin Carroll ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.548) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (626).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.79).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (17).
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (473).
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona comes into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they have been shutout in back to back games. The Diamondbacks are 13-20 on the road this year, while the Reds are 16-16 at home. Cincinnati has also lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in all four of those losses. The Reds are starting Lodolo, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts, while Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four. Take the Diamondbacks to win here.