In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 23rd at the Chase Field in the second game of this series, with the Dbacks having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 63-66 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 33-31 home record and are 61-60 in over/under They are coming off a 6-5 home victory over the Reds, and have three consceutive wins. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 games and are playing the Brewers and the Dodgers next.
The Diamondbacks have a .251 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .439 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with 135 hits, adding a team-high 81 RBI. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average. Corbin Carroll leads the team in home runs with 27.
Reliever Nabil Crismatt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 0-0 record, 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 67-62 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL Central. The Reds have a 31-33 road record and are 47-75 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-6 road defeat by the Angels, and have back-to-back losses. They are playing the Cardinals and the Dodgers next.
The Reds have a .247 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .391 slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 137 hits, and in RBI, with 77, adding a team-high 19 home runs. Gavin Lux is the team’s best hitter with a .278 batting average.
Andrew Abbott (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has an 8-3 record, 2.28 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Reds and Diamondbacks.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last nine home games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games at Chase Field.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 home games against National League opponents.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The favorites have won each of the Reds’ last seven games.
- The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Diamondbacks.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday night games as home underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Diamondbacks’ last six home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Reds’ last 11 games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (31).
- The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (619).
- The Reds rank 5th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.234).
- The Reds rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (1008).
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Reds are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Dbacks, but the Dbacks are 4-1 in their 5 meetings in Arizona. Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 meetings.
In this Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Reds are coming as -130 road favorites. The Dbacks are going for a bullpen game today, and they have the 4th-worst bullpen ERA in the league. On the flip side, the Reds are putting their ace on the mound in Abbott, who has been elite this season, and he is coming off a shutout start against the Brewers, after a two-game mini-slump. On top of that, the Dbacks are much weaker against lefties, so this is a perfect spot for the guests to bounce back. Take the Cincinnati Reds as small road favorites in this one.