In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 27th at the Dodger Stadium in the third game of this series, with the Dodgers having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 76-57 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL West. The Dodgers have a 43-24 home record and 64-64 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-3 home victory over the Reds, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 5-3-1 in their last 9 games, and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Pirates next.
The Dodgers have a .253 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .441 slugging percentage. LA’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Sohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 140 hits, in RBI, with 85 and in home runs, with 45. Freddie Freeman is the team’s best hitter with a .302 batting average.
Shohei Ohtani (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers, and he has a 0-1 record, 4.61 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 68-65 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL Central. The Reds have a 32-36 road record and are 49-77 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-6 road defeat by the Dodgers, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games. They are playing the Cardinals and the Blue Jays next.
The Reds have a .246 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .389 slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 141 hits, and in RBI, with 77, adding a team-high 19 home runs. Gavin Lux is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average.
Nick Lodolo (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has an 8-6 record, 3.05 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last eight night games against the Reds at Dodger Stadium following a win.
- The Reds have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Reds at Dodger Stadium following a win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 home games.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last four Wednesday games as favorites.
- The Reds have won each of their last three Wednesday night games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Reds’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Dodgers’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Reds’ last six games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Dodgers’ last five night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (689).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (662).
- The Reds are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both ERA and hits allowed this season.
- The Reds rank 6th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.235).
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 head-to-head meetings against the Reds, and have won their last five meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Reds vs Dodgers Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -210 home favorites. Ohtani takes the mound for the Dodgers and he has been torched in his last two starts, having given up 9 runs in 8.1 innings pitched. On the flip side, Lodolo has been solid for the Reds throughout the season, and has been better on the road, with a 2.18 road ERA and he is coming off back-to-back shutouts on the road. the Dodgers bullpen has been unreliable at best this season, and they are weaker against left-handed pitching, so I like the odds with the road dog in this matchup. Take the Cincinnati Reds and the big plus money in this one.