In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, March 30th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 1-1 this year after they beat San Francisco in game two by a score of 3-2 on Saturday. Cincinnati trailed 2-0 early in the ball game, but they scored once in the third, fifth, and sixth to escape with a win. The Reds recorded eight hits and their pitching staff allowed zero runs over the last six innings. McLain went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI, while De La Cruz and Encarnacion-Strand had one RBI each. Cincinnati started Nick Lodolo, who allowed two earned runs and five hits over 6.0 innings pitched, while Santillan, Ashcraft, and Pagan combined for three shutout innings in the game.
Last year, the Cincinnati pitching staff had a 4.09 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense scored 699 runs with a .231 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Cincinnati was also in the middle of the MLB in team ERA and runs scored, and they also need big improvement to compete with the Brewers. The Reds were led by Elly De La Cruz, who hit .259 with 25 home runs and 76 RBI’s last year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who went 10-7 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched for Cincinnati last year.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants are 1-1 this season after they lost to Cincinnati by a score of 3-2 in game two. San Francisco led 2-0 after the top of the third inning on a homer from Flores and and single by Lee, but they couldn’t find anymore offense after that point for the loss. The Giants recorded eight hits in the game and went scoreless in the final six innings. Lee went 1-4 with one RBI, while Flores went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the game. The Giants started Verlander on the mound, who allowed two earned runs and six hits over 5.0 innings, while Bivens came on in relief and allowed one earned run and two hits for the loss.
Last season, the San Francisco pitching staff had a 4.10 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense scored 693 runs with a .239 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. The Giants were right in the middle of the pack in team ERA and runs scored last season, but they need to really improve if they want to compete in the NL West. The Giants were led by Matt Chapman, who hit .247 with 27 home runs and 78 RBI’s last year. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Robbie Ray, who went 3-2 with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 30.2 innings pitched in 2024. Ray has only pitched a total of 34 innings over the last two seasons.
Why the Reds will beat the Giants
- The Giants have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Reds following a road loss.
- The Reds have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Giants following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a home win.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Reds following a road loss.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Giants at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Sunday games against the Giants.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Reds’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Giants’ last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Reds’ last 10 home games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Giants’ last eight games as favorites.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has hit at least one home run in four of his last six appearances against NL West opponents.
- Will Benson has scored a run in six of his last eight appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against NL opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Willy Adames has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
- Willy Adames has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Willy Adames has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Patrick Bailey has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Reds vs Giants Prediction
Cincinnati was able to bounce back from their game one loss with a win on Saturday, but the offense has started the season a little slow. The Reds were able to get great pitching on Saturday and will start Martinez for this game, who was very effective last year. San Francisco spoiled a pretty solid start from Verlander in game two of this series and they will also look for more offense here. The Giants are starting Robbie Ray, who has battled injuries over the last two years, and I can’t trust him until I see some decent outings. Take the Reds here.