In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 28th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 49-55 this year after they won two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 4-2, 0-7, and 5-3. In game three, Cincinnati tied the game at two in the fifth inning and they scored three runs in the 10th to secure the win. The Reds recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lowe, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. Abbott allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Burke got the win and Garcia picked up the save. Prior to that series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Mariners and two out of three against the Rockies.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.52 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 432 runs with a .230 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 21 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 18 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati in game one is Chase Burns, who is 12-1 with a 2.42 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 107.2 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Brady Singer, who is 5-9 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 103.1 innings pitched.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 54-53 this season after they lost all three against the Rays by scores of 3-11, 0-3, and 0-1. In game three, Cleveland got a great pitching performance, but their offense produced nothing in the shutout loss. The Guardians recorded one hit and they were led by Kwan, who went 1-4 in the game. Messick allowed six hits and one earned run over 7.2 innings, while Holderman threw 0.1 innings in relief. Prior to that series, Cleveland split four games with the Twins and lost two out of three against the Pirates.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 420 runs with a .230 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 11 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland in game one is Slade Cecconi, who is 4-7 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 103.2 innings pitched this season. The projected starter for game two is Gavin Williams, who is 10-5 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 126.1 innings pitched.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Guardians have lost each of their last nine games as road underdogs against the Reds following a loss.
- The Reds have won each of their last nine Monday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against the Guardians.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Guardians at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Monday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Reds have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have won each of the Reds’ last five games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites following an extra innings win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last five games.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Great American Ball Park against American League opponents.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against American League opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Guardians and Reds at Great American Ball Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Guardians’ last 10 road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last six games as road underdogs.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last six night games between the Guardians and Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as favorites against AL opponents.
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Chase Burns has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with the Reds as favorites.
- Chase Burns ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (12) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Slade Cecconi has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 12 games against the Reds.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T7th in the league in Steals (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (801).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (801).
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
Reds vs Guardians Prediction
Cleveland comes into this matchup on a five game losing streak and they have scored one run or fewer in three of their last four games. The Guardians are 27-27 on the road this year, while the Reds are 22-28 at home. Cincinnati has won four of their last five games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in all four of those wins. In game one, I think Cincinnati has the edge with Burns on the mound, so I will take Reds -1.5. In game two, I will take Cleveland to win with Williams pitching.