Miami Marlins (42-49) vs. Cincinnati Reds (47-46)
July 10, 2025 5:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -189 / Miami Marlins +154; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Reds vs Marlins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will start Cal Quantrill in this one, and Quantrill is 3-7 with a 5.40 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. In his career, Quantrill is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Cincinnati. The Cincinnati Reds will start Nick Lodolo here, and Lodolo is 5-6 with a 3.58 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lodolo is 2-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 24 strikeouts against Miami.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-2 loss at the hands of the Reds on Wednesday to sit at 42-49 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road once again for an interleague series against the Baltimore Orioles.
Marlins Looking To Win Series
Xavier Edwards has 88 hits, including 12 doubles and a team-high 15 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 77 hits with 20 doubles. Otto Lopez has 70 hits with 9 doubles and 9 home runs with 44 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 82 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs, and 48 RBIs, but also has 95 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 14 home runs, 19 doubles, and 40 RBIs, and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 30 RBIs as well on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to add on to their victory over Miami on Wednesday to sit at 47-46 this season. After this series, the Reds will take on the Colorado Rockies at home.
Reds Snap Four-Game Losing Skid
Elly De La Cruz has 99 hits with 18 home runs, 62 RBIs, 17 doubles, and 22 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 94 hits with 15 doubles, 8 home runs, and 31 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 69 hits with 16 doubles and 37 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 10 home runs and 37 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 10 homers, 32 RBIs, and 13 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 17 doubles this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won six of their last seven night games at Great American Ball Park following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a home win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at Great American Ball Park following a road loss.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his 16 previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Jose Trevino has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Jose Trevino has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances at Great American Ball Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Fifteen of the Reds’ last 20 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last eight road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
I’m on the Marlins here. I just think that there’s not that much of a gap between these two teams as the price would indicate. Furthermore, I know that the Reds go on the board in a big way in this series on Wednesday, but the Marlins have still been playing well on the road as of late. I think there’s still value with them here. Give me Miami and the plus money in this one.
