The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Reds vs Marlins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will start Eury Perez for the start here, and Perez is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Cincinnati. Nick Martinez will get the start for the Reds here, and Martinez is 6-8 with a 4.20 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. In his career, Martinez is 3-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Miami.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins will be looking to build on their 5-1 win over the Cincinnati Reds last time out to sit at 41-48 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for an interleague series against the Baltimore Orioles.
Marlins Trying To String Wins Together
Xavier Edwards has 82 hits, including 9 doubles and a team-high 15 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 76 hits with 20 doubles. Otto Lopez has 68 hits with 9 doubles and 9 home runs with 44 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 80 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs, and 46 RBIs, but also has 93 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 13 home runs, 15 doubles, and 37 RBIs, and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 29 RBIs as well on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last nine games as road underdogs.
- The Reds have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last 14 games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Marlins on Monday to sit at 46-45 on the year. After this series, the Reds will take on the Colorado Rockies at home.
Reds Lose Three In A Row
Elly De La Cruz has 96 hits with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, 15 doubles, and 22 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 92 hits with 14 doubles, 8 home runs, and 31 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 68 hits with 16 doubles and 37 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 10 home runs and 37 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 9 homers, 31 RBIs, and 12 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 17 doubles this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
-
- The Reds have won each of their last six home games following a home loss.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Marlins following a home loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road win.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three home games against the Marlins.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine home games.
- Connor Joe has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Marlins.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (22) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
I’m on the Marlins here. I get the case to be made for the Reds at home, but Nick Martinez is not a pitcher I’m going out of my way to back. Eury Perez is a better pitcher than he’s shown to this point, and I think that the Marlins will back him up here. The Marlins are still playing some of their best baseball of the season, and I think that the Reds are just in a slump right now. Give me the Fish in this one.