In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 14th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 58-62 this season after they won two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 5-4, 0-5, and 9-8. In game three, Cincinnati led 8-4 in the fourth inning and 9-5 in the sixth, but barely hung on for the win. The Reds recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Suarez, who went 1-3 with one home run and four RBIs. Abbott allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Antone got the win and Garcia picked up the save. Prior to that series, Cincinnati lost all three against the Nationals, but did sweep the Athletics in three games before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.51 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 496 runs with a .227 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 26 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 13-2 with a 2.61 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 124.0 innings pitched this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 62-60 this year after they won two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 2-0, 8-2, and 1-13. In game three, Miami allowed the first 13 runs in the game, but they scored in the bottom of the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Marlins recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Caissie, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Prior to that series, Miami won two out of three against the Angels, but lost all three against the Braves before that.
This season, Miami has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 535 runs with a .250 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 53 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 163.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine road games following a loss.
- The Reds have won each of their last four home games.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park following a win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in each of their last seven Friday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Marlins’ last nine road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last three games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Chase Burns has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Agustin Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Esteury Ruiz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
Miami had their winning streak snapped on Thursday in a blowout loss, but they had allowed just five total runs in the previous four games. The Marlins are 24-35 on the road this year, while the Reds are 29-31 at home. Cincinnati just took two out of three against the White Sox, but they have allowed 32 runs in their last five games. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Alcantara has allowed zero earned runs in his last 20.0 innings. I think Cincinnati is the better team right now and I like them with Burns on the mound.