In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 16th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 59-63 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 4-8. In game two, Cincinnati led 4-3 in the fifth inning, but they failed to score over the last four innings in the loss. The Reds recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stewart, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Singer allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Antone picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the White Sox, but lost all three against the Nationals before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.50 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while they have scored 501 runs with a .227 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 26 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 3-2 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 66.2 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 63-61 this season after they won game two by a score of 8-4 on Saturday. Miami scored four runs in the eighth inning and they added one more in the ninth for the comeback win. The Marlins recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hernandez, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Gusto allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Zuber picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Angels.
This season, Miami has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 543 runs with a .250 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 53 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 6-9 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a home loss.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four day games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last 12 Sunday day games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Reds have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road day games.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last four games as favorites against the Reds have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Reds’ last seven day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last nine games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last six home games against NL East opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five day games.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Eury Perez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine road games against the Reds.
- Joe Mack has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last six games as road favorites.
- Eury Perez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
Miami was able to even the series at one with a win on Saturday and they have won three of their last five games. The Marlins are 25-36 on the road this year, while the Reds are 30-32 at home. Cincinnati has also won three of their last five games, but they have allowed eight runs in two of their last three. The Reds are starting Lodolo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow four earned runs in his last start, while Perez has allowed 0, 4, 1, 3, and 0 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Marlins to win on the road.