In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 15th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 33-37 this year after they lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks by scores of 2-5, 2-1, and 3-5. In game three, Cincinnati led 2-1 in the third inning, but they scored just one run in the last six innings in the loss. The Reds recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bleday, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Abbott allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Maxwell picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Padres and all three against the Cardinals.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 293 runs with a .229 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 13 home runs and 42 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 7-1 with a 2.14 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 75.2 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 32-39 this season after they won two out of three against the Braves by scores of 7-5, 1-3, and 8-1. In game three, New York trailed 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored the last eight runs to get the easy win. The Mets recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Peralta allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Brazoban pitched a scoreless ninth. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Cardinals, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that.
This season, New York has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 288 runs with a .230 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 15 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added eight home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tobias Myers, who is 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have won six of their last seven home games against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a win.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mets’ last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Mets and Reds at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in three of the Reds’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Chase Burns ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.14) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Reds.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.561) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (538).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.229).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (90).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
Reds vs Mets Prediction
New York comes into this matchup with some much needed momentum, as they have won three of their last four games. The Mets are 14-21 on the road this year, while the Reds are 17-18 at home. Cincinnati has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed five runs in all three of those losses. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, while Myers will be an opener. I am not sure what New York is going to do for bulk pitching, but Burns has been lights out for the Reds. Take Cincinnati here.