In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, March 31, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers (3-1, 0-0 Away) did lose the opening game of the season to the Boston Red Sox but responded with three straight victories to win the series. Although the Rangers haven’t scored a lot of runs, they allowed just six in those three wins. Texas experienced a disappointing season last year as they finished with a 78-84 record, only a year after winning the World Series. They hope for a much better season this year.
This season, the Rangers average 3.25 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .240/.285/.397 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 2.50 ERA (9th) and 1.16 WHIP (15th). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .333 batting average, two home runs, and four RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Kumar Rocker, who went 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched in 2024, his first season in the MLB.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds (1-2, 1-2 Home) lost the opening series of the season to the San Francisco Giants at home. The Reds suffered a couple of 6-4 and 6-3 losses, while they secured a 3-2 win in between those defeats. Cincinnati had a 77-85 record last year and hopes to at least get to 81 wins this time around.
This year, the Reds average 3.33 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .221/.282/.368 slash line. The Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA (19th) and 0.92 WHIP (2nd). Jeimer Candelario is the best offensive player for the Reds, with a .300 batting average and three RBI last season.
Brady Singer will take the mound for the Reds on Monday. The 28-year-old right-hander went 9-13 in 32 starts last season, with a 3.71 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 179.2 innings.
Why the Rangers will beat the Reds
- The favorites have won each of the Reds’ last eight games.
- The Reds have lost seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in five of the Reds’ last six games.
- The Rangers have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
Why the Reds will beat the Rangers
- The Reds have won 16 of their last 17 games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Reds following a win.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road openers as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Reds’ last 10 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last seven Monday night games at Great American Ball Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rangers’ last six games.
Reds vs Rangers Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the last few years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. Brady Singer had two starts against the Rangers last year and impressed with a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings. Rocker never played against the Reds before. Rocker is still an inexperienced pitcher, but I think he will do just fine on Monday, while I also expect Singer to post a strong start, and even a quality start is on the cards. Neither team is firing offensively early in the season, and I am backing them to keep that way here. I am going with Under.