In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 1st at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 30-28 this season after they lost two out of three against the Braves by scores of 3-8, 2-5, and 6-4. In game three, Cincinnati took the lead in the third inning and never looked back in the close win. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Bleday, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Lodolo allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Moll picked up the save. Prior to that series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Mets and split two games with the Cardinals.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.71 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 256 runs with a .231 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 7-1 with a 1.96 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 64.1 innings pitched this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 22-37 this year after they lost all three against the Rangers by scores of 1-9, 6-7, and 3-6. In game three, Kansas City allowed the first six runs in the game and never really had a chance in the loss. The Royals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Massey, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Wacha allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Black threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to that series, Kansas City lost all three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.54 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 221 runs with a .234 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Salvador Perez has led the Royals with nine home runs and 25 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added nine home runs and 26 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Luinder Avila, who is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP over 21.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last 10 night games following a loss.
- The Reds have won each of their last 11 Monday home games against American League opponents.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games following a loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday games.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Monday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Royals have lost the first inning in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Royals and Reds.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last nine games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games at Great American Ball Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last eight games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Royals’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven games as home favorites.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two night games.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games against AL opponents.
- Chase Burns ranks T5th in the league for Wins (7) this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of the Royals’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 4th in the league in Steals (17) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (83).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (263).
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (221).
- The Royals rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (214).
Reds vs Royals Prediction
Kansas City comes into this matchup on a losing streak and they have allowed 6+ runs in five straight games. The Royals are 7-20 on the road this year, while the Reds are 15-14 at home. Cincinnati has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 17 runs in those three losses. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, while Avila has allowed three earned runs in his last 10.1 innings. I don’t trust this Royals team at all, so give me the Reds -1.5 here.