In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 3rd at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 31-29 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-9 and 4-3. In game two, Cincinnati trailed 3-0 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last four runs to escape with the win in extra innings. The Reds recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Steer, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs. Abbott allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Burke picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 262 runs with a .229 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 7-1 with a 1.96 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 64.1 innings pitched this year.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 23-38 this season after they lost game two by a score of 4-3 last night. Kansas City led 3-0 in the fourth inning and 3-2 in the ninth, but they blew the save and couldn’t score in the 10th for the loss. The Royals recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Massey, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Cameron allowed one hit and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Erceg blew the save and Schreiber picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Kansas City lost all three against the Rangers and all three against the Yankees.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.47 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 233 runs with a .235 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Salvador Perez has led the Royals with nine home runs and 25 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added nine home runs and 26 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Stephen Kolek, who is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 31.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last eight Wednesday games.
- The Reds have won five of their last six home games after going to extra innings.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games following a loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in four of their last five games after going to extra innings.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in 16 of their last 21 road games.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Royals and Reds.
- The Reds have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last 11 games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Reds’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Royals’ last four games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Royals’ last 12 games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last seven Wednesday night games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four night games.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 appearances against AL opponents.
- Chase Burns ranks T5th in the league for Wins (7) this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (86).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (562).
- The Royals rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (226).
- The Royals rank T27th in the league for runs scored this season (233).
Reds vs Royals Prediction
Cincinnati was able to get a dramatic win on Tuesday night and they will look to build on that momentum here. The Reds are 16-15 at home this year, while the Royals are 8-21 on the road. Kansas City continues to struggle over the last two weeks and they have allowed 6+ runs in three of their last five. The Royals are starting Kolek, who has allowed 4, 0, 0, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts, while Burns has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. Take the Reds -1.5 here.