In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 24th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 16-9 this year after they won two out of three against the Rays by scores of 6-1, 12-6, and 1-6. In game three, Cincinnati cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Reds recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Higgins, who went 0-2 with one RBI. Williamson allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Phillips allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Cincinnati won all three against the Twins and two out of three against the Giants.
This season, Cincinnati has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 97 runs with a .205 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with eight home runs and 24 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added eight home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 0-2 with a 5.84 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this year.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 14-12 this season after they won two out of three against the Brewers by scores of 4-12, 5-2, and 5-4. In game three, Detroit blew a 3-1 lead in the seventh inning, but they scored once in the eighth and once in the ninth to get the win. The Tigers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Greene, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Skubal allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Hurter got the win in relief. Prior to that series, Detroit split four games with the Red Sox and swept the Royals in three games.
This season, Detroit has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 114 runs with a .246 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with five home runs and 19 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added two home run and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Framber Valdez, who is 2-1 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four night games.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight road games against the Reds.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Reds.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Friday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Reds’ last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Tigers’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven games at Great American Ball Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Reds’ last eight night games at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last three games against the Tigers.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Sal Stewart ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.615) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games.
- Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Friday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded a hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games against NL opponents.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his five previous appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks T10th in the league in Hits (30) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (169).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.205).
- The Tigers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (13).
- The Tigers rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (51).
Reds vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after getting another series win and they have been red hot over the last two weeks. The Tigers are 4-10 on the road this year, while the Reds are 6-6 at home. Cincinnati had their winning streak snapped in their last game, but they are also playing well right now. Detroit is starting Valdez, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his five starts, while Abbott has allowed 10 earned runs and 14 hits in his last 7.2 innings. Take the Tigers on the road here.