In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 18th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 38-35 this year after they won game one by a score of 6-5 on Tuesday night. Cincinnati trailed 5-4 in the sixth inning, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the sixth, which was enough for the win. The Reds recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Fraley, Benson, and Friedl, who all had two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Abbott, who allowed eight hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Barlow picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Guardians. Cincinnati has won eight of their last ten games and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 341 runs with a .247 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 16 home runs and 50 RBIs, while TJ Friedl has added eight home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 4-5 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 79.0 innings pitched this year.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 36-36 this season after they lost game one in this series on Tuesday night. Minnesota led 1-0 in the third and 5-4 in the sixth, but they didn’t score in the last three innings for the loss. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Bader, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Minnesota started Festa, who allowed two hits and two earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Stewart picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Twins lost all three against the Astros and two out of three against the Rangers before that. Minnesota has lost five games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 300 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 12 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 10 home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 4-3 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 73.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Reds will beat the Twins
- The Twins have lost each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have won each of their last five home games against American League opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last five games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Twins’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Reds’ last 10 night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight games as underdogs.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 night games.
- Will Benson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last five games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against former teams.
- Willi Castro has recorded a Double in four of the Twins’ last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Reds vs Twins Prediction
Cincinnati was able to overcome some sloppy defensive play on Tuesday night to get the win, but they only recorded five hits in the process. The Reds are 19-16 at home this year, while the Twins are 16-24 on the road. Minnesota has lost five games in a row and they have allowed at least six runs in three of those games. The Twins are starting Ober, who has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 11.2 innings. The Reds are going with Lodolo, who has allowed 6, 3, 0, and 3 earned runs in his last four outings. I don’t love how Lodolo has looked recently, but Ober has not been good. Take the Reds to win again here.