Rockies vs Padres Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 11th at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 6-33 this season, and they have lost the first two games in this series by scores of 13-9 and 21-0. In their game two loss, Colorado allowed five runs in the first inning, and it only got worse after that point in the blowout loss. The Rockies recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Martini, who recorded two hits in the loss. Colorado started Blalock, who allowed 13 hits and 12 earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Mejia allowed six hits and four earned runs in just 1.1 innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Rockies lost all three games against the Tigers and three out of four against the Giants. Colorado has lost eight games in a row, and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.89 ERA with a 1.63 WHIP and a .302 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 124 runs with a .215 batting average and a .283 on-base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with five home runs and 19 RBIs, while Jordan Beck has added six home runs and 13 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is German Marquez, who is 0-6 with a 9.90 ERA and a 1.97 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this year. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 25-13 this year after they won game two by a score of 21-0 on Saturday night. San Diego led 15-0 at the end of the fourth inning, and they were able to coast to the easy win. The Padres recorded 24 hits in the game, and they were led by Tatis, Arraez, Cronenworth, Sheets, and Heyward, who all had three RBIs in the win. San Diego started Kolek, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 9.0 innings for the complete game shutout. 

Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the Pirates in three games before that. San Diego has won eight of their last ten games, and they are currently tied for first in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.08 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .215 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 177 runs with a .269 batting average and a .335 on-base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with nine home runs and 22 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added five home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Nick Pivetta, who is 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Padres will beat the Rockies

• The Padres have won each of their last 14 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last four games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Padres’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Padres and Rockies.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Padres’ last seven day games against NL West opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• German Marquez has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances with the Rockies as underdogs against the Padres.
• Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• German Marquez has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 13 previous Sunday appearances at Coors Field.
• Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against the Padres.
• German Marquez has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Padres.
• Kris Bryant has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Padres.
• Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
• German Marquez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has recorded a Double in four of the Padres’ last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last eight games.
• Nick Pivetta ranks T5th in the league for Wins (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank T1st in the league for triples this season (10).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (380).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.269).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (261).

Rockies vs Padres Prediction 

San Diego comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep, and they have scored 34 runs in the first two games of the series. The Padres are 11-9 on the road this year, while the Rockies are 4-16 at home. San Diego is starting Pivetta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Colorado is starting Marquez, who has allowed 5+ earned runs in five straight starts. These two teams are on opposite ends of the NL West standings, and I expect another easy San Diego win. Take the Padres -2.5 here.