The Colorado Rockies are visiting the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday, April 3rd at the Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rockies vs Phillies Prediction. We will examine:
The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance
The Colorado Rockies’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies
Recent betting trends in games played between the Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies game
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 4-1 record this season and are sitting in first place of the NL East. They are playing the Dodgers and the Braves next. The Phillies have a .299 batting average this season, .377 OBP, and .508 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.20 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Edmundo Sosa leads the Phillies with 9 hits and a .600 batting average, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 7 RBI and 3 home runs.
Taijuan Walker (R) will take the mound for the Phillies, and last season he struggled with a 3-7 record, 7.10 ERA, and 1.72 WHIP. In his previous start against the Rockies back in 2023, he allowed 3 runs in 6 innings of work, as the Phillies won 6-3.
Colorado Rockies Preview
The Colorado Rockies have a 1-4 record this season and are sitting in the last place of the NL West. They are coming off three consecutive losses and are playing the Athletics and the Brewers next. The Rockies have a .196 batting average this season, .250 OBP, and .288 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 7 hits and a .368 batting average, while leading the team with 3 RBI and 2 home runs.
Antonio Senzatela (R) will take the mound for the Rockies, and in his only previous start this season against the Tampa Bay Rays, he allowed zero earned runs in 4.1 innings of work. Senzatela struggled last season with a 6.57 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. In his previous meeting against the Phillies back in 2021, he allowed 2 earned runs in 6 innings of work, as the Rockies won by 4-3.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park following a road loss.
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight home games against the Rockies.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Rockies at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday day games.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Rockies have won four of their last five day games following a road loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games at Citizens Bank Park following a win.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Thursday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rockies’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rockies’ last six games.
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies dominated the Rockies in the first two games of this series, winning by 6-1 and 5-1. Philly led Colorado 4-2 wins in their 6 meetings last season and are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Philadelphia is coming as -225 home favorites. The Phillies are rightfully favored, as they have destroyed the Rockies in this series with a combined 10-2 score, but they are putting arguably their worst pitcher on the mound. Walker was terrible last season, but he did not face the Rockies, while Senzatela did not face the Phillies last season, as well. Senzatela looked sharp in his only start this season, and this is the only game that the guests have the chance to steal.
I like the idea of a high-scoring game, as I expect the Rockies to get into Walker, but at 9.5, I am not touching the total. I will fade Taijuan Walker in this game and will go with the Colorado Rockies at +0.5 runs in the first 5 innings, which is currently at plus money.