In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 52-54 this season after they won two out of three against Cleveland by scores of 5-3, 4-6, and 4-1. In their game three win, Kansas City scored the first four runs in the game and cruised to the easy win. The Royals recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Garcia, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Kansas City started Cameron, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Estevez picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Cubs, but did lose two out of three against the Marlins before that. Kansas City has won five of their last seven games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 376 runs with a .243 batting average and a .299 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 17 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 18 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Rich Hill, who is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 44-60 this year after they lost all three games against Texas by scores of 3-8, 5-6, and 1-8. In their game three loss, Atlanta cut the deficit to 3-1 in the second inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Braves recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Murphy, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed six hits and eight earned runs over 2.2 innings for the loss, while Dodd and Stratton combined for 5.1 scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Giants and two out of three against the Yankees. Atlanta has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 427 runs with a .241 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 14 home runs and 48 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 4-8 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Royals will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Royals have won each of their last six Monday night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Royals have covered the run line each of their last eight Monday night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last five home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last eight road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last five home games against National League opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in four of the Royals’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 15 night games.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Hits (119) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two night games.
- Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 34 of his last 42 appearances in night games.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded a hit in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in each of the Braves’ last three road games against AL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (253).
- The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (728).
- The Braves rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (153).
- The Braves rank 27th in the league for steals this season (49).
Royals vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup as the road favorite, but they have played very poorly over the last two weeks. The Braves are just 18-34 on the road this year, while the Royals are 26-27 at home. Kansas City has won three of their last four games and their offense has scored at least four runs in four straight. The Royals are starting Hill, who looked strong in his first outing. The Braves are going with Strider, who has allowed exactly three earned runs in three of his last four starts. Atlanta has the better pitcher, but they have been bad on the road and KC is fighting. Take the Royals here.