In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 7th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 48-68 this year after they won two out of three against the Twins by scores of 8-2, 2-1, and 3-4. In game three, Kansas City blew a 3-1 lead in the eighth inning for the disappointing loss. The Royals recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Caglianone, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Wacha allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Bummer picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Kansas City lost all three against the Rockies and two out of three against the Twins.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.80 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 480 runs with a .245 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 15 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 13 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Daniel Lynch IV, who is 4-2 with a 1.96 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this year.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 67-49 this season after they won a makeup game against the Blue Jays by a score of 3-2 on Thursday. Chicago trailed 2-0 in the ninth inning, but they managed to tie the game and won it in the 11th. The Cubs recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Bregman, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Peterson allowed seven hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Thornton picked up the win. Prior to that makeup game, Chicago won all three against the Dodgers, but lost two out of three against the Yankees before that.
This season, Chicago has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 595 runs with a .248 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 26 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 17 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kevin Gausman, who is 5-10 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 127.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last 11 games at Kauffman Stadium.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
- The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have won each of their last four games.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 night games at Kauffman Stadium following a home loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games following a win.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eleven of the Royals’ last 12 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cubs’ last four road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against AL Central opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Royals’ last eight games against NL Central opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Jac Caglianone has hit at least one home run in each of the Royals’ last three games against NL Central opponents.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two road games against AL opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Busch has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against AL Central opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 5th in the league in Steals (29) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Royals rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (210).
- The Royals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.80).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (497).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (595).
Royals vs Cubs Prediction
Chicago comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have scored 25 runs in those four wins. The Cubs are 32-25 on the road this year, while the Royals are 28-28 at home. Kansas City has lost three of their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Royals are starting Lynch IV, who will be an opener, while Gausman has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the Royals here, as I don’t trust Gausman.