The Kansas City Royals are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, July 6th at the Chase Field in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:
The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance
The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks game
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 44-45 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 23-24 home record and are 46-38 in over/under They are coming off a 7-1 home victory over the Royals, which snapped their three-game losing streak. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games and are playing the Padres and the Angels next.
The Diamondbacks have a .253 batting average this season, .329 OBP and .448 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 92 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .302 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 73, and in home runs with 28.
Anthony DeSclafani (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 0-0 record, 4.82 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
Kansas City Royals Preview
The Kansas City Royals have a 42-48 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 22-24 road record and are 35-54 in over/under. They are coming off 1-7 road defeat by the Dbacks, and are 3-2 in their last 5 games. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games and are playing the Mets and the Pirates next.
The Royals have a .243 batting average this season, .298 OBP and .364 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 104 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 55, adding a team-high 14 home runs.
Michael Lorenzen (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 4-8 record, 4.95 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Royals have lost six of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost six of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Royals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at Chase Field.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Royals’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Royals’ last six day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (19).
- The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (461).
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (300).
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (215).
Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Diamondbacks are 8-4 in their last 12 overall meetings against the Royals, and are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Arizona. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Arizona.
In this Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -135 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records and similar home/away splits. The Dbacks are going for the bullpen game today, and their bullpen is the third-worst in the league. The Royals are putting Lorenzen on the mound, who has been weaker on the road, and in terrible form, and I expect the elite Arizona offense to hit him hard. In conclusion, I expect a lot of runs from both sides of this matchup, so take the over 9.5 runs.