The Kansas City Royals are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday, July 1st at the T-Mobile Park in the second game of this series, with the Mariners having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance
The Kansas City Royals’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners game
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 44-40 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 21-19 home record and 47-33 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-2 home victory over the Royals, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games, and they are playing the Yankees and the Pirates next.
The Mariners have a .248 batting average this season, a .325 OBP, and a .404 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 89, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 71 and in home runs with 33. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .279 batting average.
Emerson Hancock (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 3-4 record, 5.30 ERA, and 1.42 WHIP.
Kansas City Royals Preview
The Kansas City Royals have a 39-46 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the AL Central. The Royals have a 19-22 road record and are 33-51 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-6 road defeat by the Mariners, and are 1-8 in their last 9 games. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 games, and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Pirates next.
The Royals have a .243 batting average this season, a .298 OBP, and a .365 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Maikel Garcia leads the Royals with 95 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team both in RBI, with 47, and in home runs, with 12.
Michael Lorenzen (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 4-8 record, 4.91 ERA, and 1.38 WHIP.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have won each of their last six home games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Mariners’ last five games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against the Royals at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Royals and Mariners.
- The Mariners have lost five of their last six Tuesday games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL West opponents.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Royals’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six games at T-Mobile Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games against AL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank T28th in the league for doubles this season (114).
- The Mariners rank T28th in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (279).
Royals vs Mariners Prediction
The Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 overall meetings against the Royals, and are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings in Seattle. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 meetings.
In this Royals vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -140 home favorites. The Mariners have a better overall record, but both teams have almost identical home/away splits. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they have a combined 10.21 ERA, and their home/away ERAs are even worse, with 11.44. Both teams are better against righties, with an 8.3 average runs combined against right-handed pitching, so with the total set at 8 and having push protection, I will go over that number.