In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 18th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 39-59 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-6 on Friday night. Kansas City blew a 3-2 lead in the ninth inning, but they scored four runs in the 10th for the improbable win. The Royals recorded 13 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Jensen, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. Lugo allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Lange blew the save and Erceg picked up the win. Prior to this series, Kansas City lost all three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Mets.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.92 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while they have scored 418 runs with a .247 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 13 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 13 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Randy Dobnak, who is 0-0 with a 1.86 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 48-49 this season after they lost game one by a score of 6-7 in extra innings. San Diego tied the game in the ninth inning and led 6-3 in the 10th, but their bullpen blew the lead for the loss. The Padres recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Andujar, who went 3-4 with one RBI. King allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Hart blew the save and took the loss. Prior to this series, San Diego won two out of three against the Blue Jays and split four games with the Diamondbacks.
This season, San Diego has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 385 runs with a .226 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 19 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 14 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Griffin Canning, who is 1-7 with a 6.47 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 55.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The home team has won each of the Royals’ last six games.
- The Padres have lost eight of their last nine road games.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last six games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 18 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last six road games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Royals have lost each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last six games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Padres’ last 10 day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Royals’ last nine day games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two home games.
- Randy Dobnak has recorded three or more strikeouts in three of his four previous home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 13 games against NL opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (30) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Ty France has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Griffin Canning has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his eight previous road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Griffin Canning has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite .
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Steals (23) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Royals rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (180).
- The Royals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.92).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (717).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.226).
Royals vs Padres Prediction
Kansas City snapped their long losing streak with a win on Friday, but they have allowed at least six runs in four of their last five games. The Royals are 22-26 at home this year, while the Padres are 21-25 on the road. San Diego has lost three of their last five games, but they have scored at least five runs in three straight. The Padres are starting Canning, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Dobnak has allowed two earned runs over 9.2 innings. Take the Royals at home here.