Royals vs Rangers Prediction 6/17/25 MLB Picks Today

The Kansas City Royals are visiting the Texas Rangers on Tuesday, June 17^th at the Globe Life Field in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Rangers Prediction. We will examine:

The Texas Rangers’ recent form and player performance

The Kansas City Royals’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers game

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 36-36 record this season and are sitting in third place in the AL West. The Rangers have a 23-13 home record and 23-47 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-1 home victory over the White Sox, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and are playing the Pirates and the Orioles next.

The Rangers have a .229 batting average this season, a .294 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage. Texas’s pitching staff has a 3.10 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 63 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 34.

Jack Leiter (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 4-3 record, 3.88 ERA, and 1.24 WHIP. He has been better at home, with a 3.54 ERA across five home starts, and he is coming off a bad start, where he gave up 4 runs in 4 innings of work against the Twins. This will be his first career start against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 34-38 record this season and are sitting in 4^th place in the AL Central. The Royals have a 15-19 road record and are 29-42 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by the Athletics, and are 1-8 in their last 9 games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and they are playing the Rays and the Padres next.

The Royals have a .250 batting average this season, a .302 OBP, and a .366 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Maikel Garcia leads the Royals with 79 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team both in RBI, with 39, and in home runs, with 10.

Seth Lugo (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 3-5 record, 3.18 ERA, and 1.15 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 4.07 ERA across four road starts, but he is coming off a shutout start against the Yankees in 5.2 innings pitched.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last 13 home games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have lost each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Rangers following a home loss.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in 13 of their last 15 games as home favorites against the Royals.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The road team has won each of the Royals’ last seven games.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last three night games following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rangers’ last eight home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last 14 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rangers’ last 11 night games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (238).
• The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.10).
• The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (46).
• The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (168).

Royals vs Rangers Prediction

The Rangers are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Royals, and have won their last three meetings in Texas. Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Royals vs Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -135 home favorites. The Rangers are rightfully favored, as they have a slightly better overall record, but they have been extremely strong at home, as they are tied for the third-fewest home defeats in the AL. On the other hand, the Royals are below average on the road, and they have the second-worst offense in the majors, with just 3.29 runs per game. The Royals are also in a free fall lately, and Lugo has been due to some negative regression, with an expected ERA of 5.34. Take the Texas Rangers to get the job done at home.