MLB Picks

Royals vs Tigers Prediction 8/22/25 MLB Picks Today

Royals vs Tigers
August 22, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Royals +131 / Tigers -145 / Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Tigers Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 22nd at the Comerica Park in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 76-53 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL Central. The Tigers have a 42-24 home record and are 66-55 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-2 home victory over the Astros, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Royals and the Athletics next.

The Tigers have a .249 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .421 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 126 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 92, and in home runs, with 29. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .263 batting average.

Casey Mize (R) is the projected starter for the Tigers, and he has a 12-4 record, 3.63 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 66-62 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 30-32 road record and are 55-72 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-4 home victory over the Rangers, and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games and are playing the Tigers and the White Sox next.

The Royals have a .246 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .393 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 146 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 87, and a team-high 26 home runs.

Ryan Bergert (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 1-1 record, 2.75 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Royals have lost each of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Royals following a win.
  • The Royals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Royals.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Royals have won seven of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Tigers’ last 15 games.
  • The Royals have won the first inning in five of their last six night games.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Tigers’ last 10 home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Royals’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last seven night games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (57).
  • The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (29).
  • The Royals rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (489).
  • The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (884).

Royals vs Tigers Prediction

The Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Reds, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Detroit. Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Royals vs Tigers Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -155 home favorites. Both teams have been red-hot lately and it’s hard to fade either one at this point. Both pitchers have been great, and Bergert has been in excellent form for the Royals lately, as he has given up 2 runs or less in each of his last five starts. Both teams also have very good bullpens, while the Royals have not been very good offensively this season. I expect a low-scoring grind, so take the under 8 runs in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Under 8

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Related Articles

Back to top button