The Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Ryne Nelson for the start here and Nelson is 3-4 with a 5.44 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against San Diego, Nelson is 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 15 strikeouts. Matt Waldron will start for the Padres here and Waldron is 3-5 with a 3.98 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. In his career, Waldron is 0-2 with a 13.50 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Arizona.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this one looking to bounce back from their 10-3 loss in Friday’s matchup, evening the series up at one win apiece. The loss was just the second in the last seven games for Arizona, who are looking to build off of a series win over the Giants and a split with the New York Mets over the last week.
Diamondbacks Regress Offensively In Loss
Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 71 hits in addition to a .282 batting average and 14 doubles with 13 home runs and 35 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 9 home runs and 37 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 10 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has a team-high 73 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 12 home runs with a team-high 39 RBIs of his own this season.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against the Diamondbacks following a win.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday home games.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 14 games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to build on Friday’s victory which snapped a five-game losing streak that was mostly made up of the losses from their three-game sweep at the hands of the Angels to start the week.
Padres Still Inconsistent Offensively
Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 74 hits along with a .325 batting average and 12 doubles with 9 homers and 42 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 40 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 11 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 6 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 53 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 50 hits with 3 triples, 8 doubles, 8 home runs, 29 RBIs and a team-high 13 stolen bases. Tatis Jr. also has a team-high 59 strikeouts and 7 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six night games against the Padres following a road loss.
- The home team has won five of the Padres’ last six games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last five Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.
San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
I’m on the under here. I know the Padres broke out offensively on Friday, but I still don’t trust San Diego’s bats as far as I can throw them right now, and Arizona hasn’t been much better with consistency. Waldron’s been rock solid since struggling against Arizona in his last start against them earlier this year, and Nelson tends to pitch better on the road and it’s been that way his entire career. I think this one gets back to what we saw in the opener between these two and that’s a matchup that comes in under the number.