San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 4/11/26 MLB Picks Today

The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Colorado Rockies will send out Ryan Feltner for the start here and Feltner is 1-0 with a 4.32 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Feltner is 0-0 with a 3.80 ERA and 21 strikeouts. German Marquez will start for the Padres here and is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Marquez’s first career start against Colorado.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-2 loss at the hands of San Diego in Friday’s matchup to sit at 6-8 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a game against the Houston Astros.

Rockies Drop Back-To-Back Games

Entering Friday’s matchup, TJ Rumfield has 14 hits with a double, a triple, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 14 hits with 6 doubles, a home run and 6 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 11 hits with a double, 2 home runs and 4 RBIs and Jordan Beck has 4 RBIs as well on the year. Troy Johnston has 13 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 6 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 10 hits with 3 doubles, a home run and 7 RBIs.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to build on their win over the Rockies from Friday to improve to 8-6 this season. After this series, the Padres will take on the Seattle Mariners in a series at home.

Padres Win 7 Of Last 9

Going into Friday, Jackson Merrill has 9 hits with 2 doubles, 2 home runs and 7 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 11 hits with 2 doubles, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 10 hits with 3 doubles and 5 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 13 hits with 2 doubles, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 8 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs as well on the year.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: April 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: German Marquez      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 4.50
• Home Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Rockies: –

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 road games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have won each of their last nine Saturday games against the Rockies.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Rockies’ last seven games.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Petco Park.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in 12 of their last 14 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Saturday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Feltner      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 4.32
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Padres: 0-0

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Rockies have won four of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Padres have lost three of their last four games following a home win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games following a home win.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rockies’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Padres’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rockies’ last eight road games.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last four Saturday games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• German Marquez has recorded five or more strikeouts in 25 of his last 32 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Saturday appearances against NL West teams that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in three of his last nine appearances against the Padres.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rockies’ last eight road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (29).
• The Padres rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (7).
• The Rockies rank 28th in the league for walks this season (36).
• The Rockies rank 4th in the league for steals this season (16).

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m on the Rockies here. The Rockies fell flat in a better spot on Friday, but I feel the same about Marquez that I felt about Friday’s Padres starter Walker Buehler, that they’re both the weaker end of San Diego’s starting rotation. I think there’s still solid bats in Colorado’s lineup and I think the Rockies could get some measure of revenge here. Give me Colorado.