In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 4th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Padres are Pushing the Dodgers
The San Diego Padres are 60-52 this year and they have won three of their last four games. San Diego lost the first game in this series on Friday, but they won game two by a score of 3-2. Prior to this series, the Padres won both games against the Dodgers, won two out of three against the Orioles, and swept the Nationals in three games. San Diego is 10-2 in their last 12 games and they are second in the NL West.
The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 516 runs with a .263 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .270 with 17 home run and 59 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has scored at least six runs in five of their last seven games.
Rockies Small Winning Streak Snapped
The Colorado Rockies are 41-71 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Colorado won game one in this series by a score of 5-2, but they lost game two on Saturday night. Prior to this series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Angels, lost all four against the Giants, and won two out of three against the Red Sox. Colorado is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL West.
The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.45 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP, and a .286 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 475 runs with a .243 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .256 with 16 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has scored at least four runs in four of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Cal Quantrill, who is 7-7 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 118.0 innings pitched this season. Quantrill has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Matt Waldron, who is 6-9 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 122.2 innings pitched this year. Waldron has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts.
Why the Padres will beat the Rockies
- The Rockies have lost each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have won eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Padres’ last seven day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rockies’ last six day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last five games at Petco Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Manny Machado has recorded a Double in four of the Padres’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded an RBI in four of the Padres’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous home appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit at least one home run in each of the Rockies’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Elias Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Cal Quantrill has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances at Petco Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Cal Quantrill has recorded three or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances.
- Charlie Blackmon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday day appearances against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Charlie Blackmon has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Sunday day appearances against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Charlie Blackmon has scored at least one run in five of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
San Diego rolls into this game as one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now and they are making up some serious ground in the NL West. The Padres are 29-29 at home, while the Rockies are just 17-42 on the road. Colorado has played better in recent games, but they have the worst pitching staff in the MLB. The Rockies are going with Cal Quantrill, who has not pitched very well recently. The Padres are starting Matt Waldron, who has also had struggles in recent outings. I don’t like how either pitcher is currently performing, but fading the Rockies on the road has been a great decision this year. My San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies prediction is for the Padres to win by at least two runs.