The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres meet Thursday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Padres vs Rockies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Colorado Rockies will start McCade Brown for the start here and Brown is 0-3 with a 12.54 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. This will be Brown’s second career start against the Padres. The San Diego Padres will send out Randy Vasquez for the start here and Vasquez is 4-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rockies, Vasquez is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
Colorado Rockies Recap
The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their 9-0 loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out to sit at 40-106 on the year. After this series, the Rockies will head home for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Rockies Drop 5 In A Row
Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 133 hits including 25 doubles, 4 triples, 29 home runs and 86 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 126 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 15 home runs, 25 doubles, 50 RBIs, 5 triples and 16 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 110 hits with 20 doubles, 14 home runs, 55 RBIs and 16 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 100 hits with 17 doubles, 8 triples and 19 home runs with 57 RBIs.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Padres have lost five of their last six games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have won six of the Padres’ last nine games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday night games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last six games at Petco Park.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in three of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
- Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Petco Park.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to rebound from their 2-1 loss at the hands of the Cincinnati Reds last time out to sit at 79-67 this season. After this series, the Padres will head on the road for a set against the New York Mets.
Padres Drop Back-To-Back Games
Manny Machado has 155 hits including a team-high 33 doubles, 23 home runs, 84 RBIs and 13 stolen bases while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 143 hits with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs along with 29 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 159 hits with 29 doubles, 4 triples, 7 home runs and 54 RBIs while Jackson Merrill’s added 98 hits with 10 home runs and 55 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 29 doubles and 20 stolen bases as well this season. Gavin Sheets also has 26 doubles, 19 home runs and 64 RBIs as well this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 night games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have won 10 of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the Rockies’ last nine games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has recorded a Double in five of the Padres’ last six home games against the Rockies.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three home games against the Rockies.
- Gavin Sheets has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five appearances against the Rockies.
- Luis Arraez ranks T4th in the league in Hits (159) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Thirteen of the Padres’ last 15 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Rockies’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Padres vs Rockies Prediction
I’m on the Padres here. Brown just doesn’t look ready for the major leagues, and it doesn’t help matters that he got smoked by the Padres in his last start. Randy Vasquez is a fringe starter in the Padres’ rotation, but he has solid career numbers against the Rockies, and I think the Padres back him up to get the win here. Give me San Diego in this one.