The Houston Astros and the San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Houston Astros will send out Cristian Javier for the start and Javier is 1-2 with a 6.59 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. The San Diego Padres did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Padres on Saturday to sit at 60-58 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a set against the San Francisco Giants.
Astros Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight
Yordan Alvarez has 136 hits with 24 doubles, 35 home runs and 85 RBIs while Christian Walker has 100 hits with 24 doubles, 22 home runs and 63 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 87 hits with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 34 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 99 hits with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 60 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 81 hits with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 40 RBIs.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to build on their win over Houston from Saturday to sit at 61-57 this season. After this series, the Padres will take on the Milwaukee Brewers in a series at home.
Padres Looking To Win Rubber Match
Jackson Merrill has 106 hits with 18 doubles, 16 home runs and 55 RBIs while Gavin Sheets has 68 hits with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 43 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 125 hits with 24 doubles, 9 home runs and 50 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 86 hits with 11 doubles, 9 home runs and 41 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 88 hits with 20 doubles, 23 home runs and 70 RBIs as well on the year.
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: August 9, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez Record this season: 7-6 ERA: 4.19
- Home Record: 3-4
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-0
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last six Sunday night games.
- The Astros have lost four of their last five road games against NL West opponents.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday night games.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against NL West opponents.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristian Javier Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 6.59
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Padres: 0-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Padres have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the last six games between the Astros and Padres at Petco Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Astros’ last six games as underdogs against the Padres have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Padres’ last six home games against American League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games against the Astros.
- Randy Vasquez has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against the Astros.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Hits (128) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Taylor Trammell has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as road underdogs.
- Cristian Javier has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 road appearances against NL West opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (119).
- The Padres rank 25th in the league for hits this season (915).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (38).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (493).
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m looking at the Padres here. I just am not a fan of Cristian Javier’s game coming back from the injury, and I think the Padres can get to him in this one. Should be an interesting matchup if this ends up coming down to the bullpens, but I’lll back the Padres at home in this one.