In this article, we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 9th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game four in the NLDS.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
San Diego was able to hang on for a huge win in game three of this series on Tuesday night and they will try to eliminate the Dodgers with a win here. San Diego dropped the first game in the series, but they have won games two and three by scores of 10-2 and 6-5. The Padres were able to score six runs in the second inning on Tuesday night and their bullpen was able to hang on for the win. Prior to this series, the Padres defeated the Braves in two games in the NL Wild Card by scores of 4-0 and 5-4. The Padres are just a game away from reaching the NLCS, where they could face the Phillies or Mets.
The San Diego pitching staff had a 3.86 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average this year. The Padres offense scored 760 runs with a .263 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage in the regular season. Manny Machado hit .275 with 29 home runs and 105 RBIs for the Padres this season.
LA Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game facing elimination after losing games two and three in this series. LA won the first game on Saturday by a score of 7-5, but they have allowed 16 runs over the last two games. The Dodgers fell down 6-1 early in game three, but they did rally to cut the deficit to 6-5, but couldn’t find any more offense. Prior to the postseason, the Dodgers swept the Rockies, won two out of three against the Padres, and won two out of three against the Rockies.
The Los Angeles pitching staff had a 3.90 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average this year. The Dodgers’ offense scored 842 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on-base percentage during the regular season. Shohei Ohtani hit .310 with 54 home runs and 130 RBIs for the Dodgers this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Dylan Cease, who allowed five earned runs and six hits over 3.1 innings against the Dodgers in game one. Cease did allow zero earned runs in two of his final three starts in the regular season. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is TBD.
Why the Padres will beat the Dodgers
- The Padres have won each of their last seven games at Petco Park.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last seven road playoff games.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home playoff games.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six playoff games.
Why the Dodgers will beat the Padres
- The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have lost four of their last five night games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Petco Park following a home win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Dodgers’ last 13 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last four playoff games against NL West opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last five night games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last eight home games.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his nine previous Wednesday appearances at Petco Park.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last seven games against the Dodgers.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four playoff appearances against NL West opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his six previous playoff appearances at Petco Park.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four road games against NL West opponents.
- Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one total base in 17 of his last 18 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers’ last six road games.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
- Gavin Lux has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Chris Taylor has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1456).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.263).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (842).
San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction
San Diego comes into this game with plenty of momentum after winning games two and three, and they will look to advance with a win here. The Padres offense has been very strong in the first three games of this series and will most likely be facing an LA bullpen game. The Dodgers have their backs against the wall coming into this game, but they did rough up Cease in game one. We have seen plenty of runs so far in this series and I have no reason to think this game will be any different, so give me the over here.