The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Kyle Harrison for the start here and Harrison is 9-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Walker Buehler will start for San Diego and is 6-5 with a 5.07 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Padres on Monday to sit at 74-45 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a set against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Brewers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
William Contreras has 111 hits with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 59 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 119 hits with 27 doubles, 3 triples, 16 homers and 74 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 97 hits with 17 doubles, 21 home runs and 67 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 65 hits with 4 home runs and 34 RBIs this season. Garrett Mitchell has 87 hits with 24 doubles and 50 RBIs this season.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Brewers from Monday to improve to 63-57 this season. After this series, the Padres will head on the road for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.
Padres Win 3 In A Row
Jackson Merrill has 111 hits with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 61 RBIs while Gavin Sheets has 70 hits with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 44 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 130 hits with 25 doubles, 11 home runs and 54 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 86 hits with 11 doubles, 9 home runs and 41 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 91 hits with 20 doubles, 23 home runs and 70 RBIs as well on the year.
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: August 11, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Walker Buehler Record this season: 6-5 ERA: 5.07
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-1
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last six games at Petco Park.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Padres following a road loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Padres following a loss.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Harrison Record this season: 9-2 ERA: 2.84
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Padres: 2-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 night games following a loss.
- The Padres have lost each of their last seven Tuesday games against NL Central opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last five games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Padres’ last five night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last eight night games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last six games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last five home games.
- Walker Buehler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his four previous home appearances against the Brewers.
- Freddy Fermin has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 7th in the league in Hits (130) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five games.
- Kyle Harrison has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (119).
- The Padres rank 25th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.386).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (110).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.219).
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I think this is going to be a great pitching matchup as both Harrison and Buehler have been profitable options for their respective rotations this season and I think this just ends up being a low-scoring game in a first to 3 wins kind of game.